Pre-Trial Detention Under the Young Offenders Act: A Study of Urban Courts

APPENDIX: METHOD AND SUPPORTING TABLES (cont'd)

TABLE A.8 - THE EFFECTS OF SOCIAL AND LEGAL VARIABLES ON RELEASE FROM DETENTION, ALL COURTS COMBINED
Variable Module 1 Module 2
B (s.e.) Sign. B (s.e.) Sign.
Constant 1.023 (.196) .000 2.317 (.262) .000
12 to 16 years old vs. 17+ .202 (.196) .302 .551 (.234) .019
White/other vs. Aboriginal/black -.532 (.178) .003 -.194 (.209) .353
Other living arrangements vs. lives with friends or no fixed address -1.246 (.240) .000 -.740 (.289) .010
Warrant at arrest (no/yes)     -.823 (.340) .101
Number of outstanding charges     -.201 (.064) .002
Any grounds cited (no/either primary or secondary/both)     -.364 (.129) .005
Prior record (composite)     -.946 (.115) .000
Number of current charges     -.142 (.082) .085
Indictable current charge (no/yes)     -.590 (.229) .010
Any FTC or FTA current charge (no/yes)     Any FTC or FTA current charge (no/yes) .005
Model chi-square (df) 29.86 (3) *** 191.64 (10) ***
Block chi-square (df) 29.86 (3) *** 161.78 (7) ***
% correct predictions detained 24% 66%
% correct predictions released 90% 81%
Overall correct predictions 68% 76%
Nagelkerke's R2 .07 .37

TABLE A.9 - THE EFFECTS OF SOCIAL AND LEGAL VARIABLES ON RELEASE FROM DETENTION, HALIFAX-DARTMOUTH
Variable B (s.e.) Sign.
Constant 2.001 (.441) .000
Other living arrangements vs. lives with friends or no fixed address -1.615 (.696) .020
Reverse onus (no/yes) .142 (.148) .338
Any grounds cited (no/either primary or secondary/both) -.712 (.433) .100
Prior record (composite) -.977 (.303) .001
Any FTC or FTA current charge (no/yes) -1.506 (.724) .038
Model chi-square (df) 27.30 (5) ***
% correct predictions detained 67%
% correct predictions released 79%
Overall correct predictions 75%
Nagelkerke's R2 .37

TABLE A.10 - THE EFFECTS OF SOCIAL AND LEGAL VARIABLES ON RELEASE FROM DETENTION, TORONTO (BOTH COURTS)
Variable Module 1 Module 2
B (s.e.) Sign. B (s.e.) Sign.
Constant 3.206 (1.901) .092 3.523 (.2.330) .130
Age at offence -.166 (.122) .174 -.103 (.146) .481
Lives with friends or no fixed address (no/yes) -1.234 (.418) .003 -1.195 (.503) .018
Any grounds cited (no/either primary or secondary/both)     -.177 (.221) .424
Number of outstanding charges     -.376 (.262) .151
Prior record (composite)     -.924 (.215) .000
1-2 vs. 3+ current charges     -.618 (.371) .096
Current person charge (no/yes)     -.638 (.389) .101
Any FTC or FTA current charge (no/yes)     -.793 (.471) .092
Model chi-square (df) 14.37 (2) ** 54.00 (8) ***
Block chi-square (df) 14.37 (2) ** 39.63 (6) ***
% correct predictions detained 31% 61%
% correct predictions released 90% 81%
Overall correct predictions 66% 73%
Nagelkerke's R2 .10 .35

TABLE A.11 - THE EFFECTS OF SOCIAL AND LEGAL VARIABLES ON RELEASE FROM DETENTION, WINNIPEG
Variable Module 1 Module 2
B (s.e.) Sign. B (s.e.) Sign.
Constant .893 (.292) .000 3.000 (.674) .000
Being female -.708 (.432) .102 .552 (.495) .264
All other "races" vs. Native Canadian -.800 (.351 .023 -.636 (.393) .106
No current legal involvement vs. some involvement     -1.535 (.633) .015
Reverse onus (no/yes)     -.088 (.080) .274
Warrant at arrest (no/yes)     -1.305 (.828) .115
Both bail history and prior custody (no/yes)     -.624 (.252) .013
1-2 vs. 3+ current charges     -.723 (.414) .081
Hybrid current charge (no/yes)     .421 (.414) .308
Model chi-square (df) 8.04 (2) * 45.99 (8) ***
Block chi-square (df) 8.04 (2) * 37.94 (6) ***
% correct predictions detained 62% 74%
% correct predictions released 61% 70%
Overall correct predictions 62% 71%
Nagelkerke's R2 .07 .33

Notes: